I consider myself lucky to have confirmed first-hand that Nate Silver is a relatively smart guy. Nate Silver was not telling a fish tale here.
He most recently published a book, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail – but Some Don’t, and he is particularly well known for accurately predicting the outcome of the 2012 U.S. Presidential election 51 times in parallel (all 50 states and the District of Columbia).
His work is not limited to politics, also having....